The expected number of deaths is a 4 month average of the number of non-winter deaths: deaths in the two four month periods which precede winter (August to November) and follow winter (April to July).
Announcement of Methodological Change
The next release of Excess Winter Mortality in Northern Ireland is due for release on 21st October 2020. Due to a need for further QA, this date was put back from the original date of 13th October. This release will take account of a methodological change and provide a back series for users. Further details are available in the Announcement of Methodological Change note to user