2022-based Population Projections for Northern Ireland: Variant projections

Variant projections are produced based on alternative, but generally plausible, assumptions of future fertility, mortality and net migration.

Date published: 28 January 2025

Statistics: Population, National Population Projections

This page contains the following tables for each variant projection:

Projection summary (2022-2072)
Single year of age and sex (2022-2072)
5 year age bands and sex (2022-2072)

Documents

Variant population projections - population by age and sex (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (10 MB)
High population variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Low population variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
High fertility variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Low fertility variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
High life expectancy variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Low life expectancy variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
High migration variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Low migration variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Zero net migration variant - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
No long term life expectancy improvement - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Replacement fertility - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Old age structure - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)
Young age structure - projection summary (2022-2072) Microsoft Excel (42 KB)

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Last updated: 21 March 2025