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2016-based Population Projections for Areas within Northern Ireland

Date published: 26 April 2018

Statistics: Population,  Sub-National Population Projections

Population projections by age and sex are produced every two years for the UK and its constituent countries by the Office for National Statistics.

Following the publication of Northern Ireland level population projections, NISRA produces official sub-national population projections for areas within in Northern Ireland. Projections are available for local government districts (the current 11 and former 26), Health and Social Care Trusts, former Education and Library Boards and NUTS III areas*.

*Note that as of January 2018 NUTS level III areas are now equivalent to the current 11 LGDs in Northern Ireland.

This release includes the following documents:

  • Statistical bulletin
  • Press notice
  • Methodology paper
  • Assumptions consultation report
  • UK methodology and comparison paper

and the following tables (for each of the areas):

  • Projection summary (2016 to 2041)
  • Population totals (2016 to 2041)
  • Single year of age and sex (2016 to 2041)
  • 5 year age bands and sex (2016 to 2041)

See also:

UK Methodology and Comparison Paper

Infographics for each Local Government District - Please note that these infographics were updated on Thursday 26 April at 14:45.

Interactive maps (projections, components of population change)

Population pyramids

Documents

  • 2016-based sub-national projections - statistical bulletin Adobe PDF (1 MB)
  • 2016-based sub-national projections - press notice Adobe PDF (391 KB)
  • 2016-based sub-national projections - methodology paper Adobe PDF (294 KB)
  • 2016-based sub-national projections - assumptions consultation report Adobe PDF (604 KB)
  • 11 LGDs - projection summary (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (292 KB)
  • 11 LGDs - population totals (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (149 KB)
  • 11 LGDs - population single year of age and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (655 KB)
  • 11 LGDs - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (2 MB)
  • HSCT - projection summary (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (219 KB)
  • HSCT - population totals (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (148 KB)
  • HSCT - population single year of age and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (411 KB)
  • HSCT - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (219 KB)
  • 26 former LGDs - projection summary (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (470 KB)
  • 26 former LGDs - population totals (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (153 KB)
  • 26 former LGDs - population single year of age and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (1 MB)
  • 26 former LGDs - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (438 KB)
  • Former ELBs - projection summary (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (219 KB)
  • Former ELBs - population totals (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (148 KB)
  • Former ELBs - population single year of age and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (1,015 KB)
  • Former ELBs - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2041) Microsoft Excel (220 KB)

Help viewing documents

Last updated: 03 March 2025

Links

  • Official Statistics producer – Upholding Trust, Quality and Value
  • General Register Office - registration and certification of life events relating to births, deaths and marriages
  • nidirect.gov.uk – the official government website for Northern Ireland citizens
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