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2018-based Population Projections for Northern Ireland: Variant projections

Date published: 21 October 2019

Statistics: Population,  National Population Projections

Variant projections are produced based on alternative, but generally plausible, assumptions of future fertility, mortality and net migration.

The variant EU migration projections were created to fulfil specific stakeholder requirements following consultation. These variant projections are not classed as National Statistics because they have not been created using the standard method.

This page contains the following tables for each variant projection:

  • Projection summary (2018-2068)
  • Single year of age and sex (2018-2068)
  • 5 year age bands and sex (2018-2068)

See also:

  • 2018-based National Projections Assumption Papers on fertility, mortality and migration
  • How the assumptions are set

Documents

  • Variant population projections - population by age and sex (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (11 MB)
  • EU variant population projections - population by age and sex (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (2 MB)
  • High population variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (382 KB)
  • Low population variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (218 KB)
  • High fertility variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (219 KB)
  • Low fertility variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (220 KB)
  • High life expectancy variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (220 KB)
  • Low life expectancy variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (217 KB)
  • High migration variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (219 KB)
  • Low migration variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (220 KB)
  • Zero net migration variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (218 KB)
  • No mortality improvement - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (214 KB)
  • Constant fertility, no mortality improvement - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (266 KB)
  • Constant fertility - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (220 KB)
  • Replacement fertility - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (219 KB)
  • 0% future EU migration variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (107 KB)
  • 50% future EU migration variant - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (107 KB)
  • Old age structure - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (220 KB)
  • Young age structure - projection summary (2018-2068) Microsoft Excel (217 KB)

Help viewing documents

Last updated: 03 March 2025

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