2018-based Population Projections for Northern Ireland
Date published:
Population Projections for Northern Ireland and Statistical Bulletin (2018)
National projections by sex and single year of age are produced every two years for the UK and each of the UK constituent countries by the Office of National Statistics (ONS). National projections provide an estimate of the future size and age structure of the population of Northern Ireland.
This release includes the following documents:
- Statistical bulletin
- Press notice
- Infographic summary
and the following tables (for the Principal Projection):
- Projection summary (2018-2068)
- Single year of age and sex (2018-2068)
- 5 year age bands and sex (2018-2068)
See also:
- 2018-based National Population Projections Quality and Methodology Information report
- National Population Projections Accuracy Report
- 2018-based National Projections Assumption Papers on fertility, mortality and migration
- How the assumptions are set
- 2018-based projections for Northern Ireland: Variant projections
- 2018-based projections: Underlying projection data
- An interactive population pyramid up to mid-2068 is available on the NINIS website.
- A 2018-based population projections infographic is also available
An error has been identified in the UK production of the 2018-based National Population Projections. The error was caused by incorrect processing of cross-border flows, resulting in the projected mid-2028 population for Wales being approximately 65,000 too low, and that for England being approximately 65,000 too high. Corrected projections for Wales were published in June 2020, and references to Wales in the Northern Ireland Statistical Bulletin have been corrected. There have been no changes to the projections for Northern Ireland. Further information can be found on the Office for National Statistics website.