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2016-based Population Projections for Northern Ireland: Variant projections

Date published: 26 October 2017

Statistics: Population,  National Population Projections

Variant projections are produced based on alternative, but generally plausible, assumptions of future fertility, mortality and net migration.

This page contains the following tables for each variant projection:

  • Projection summary (2016-2066)
  • Single year of age and sex (2016-2066)
  • 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066)

See also:

  • 2016-based National Projections Assumption Papers

Documents

  • Principal projection and variants - population totals (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • High population variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (308 KB)
  • High population variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • High population variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Low population variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (309 KB)
  • Low population variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Low population variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • High fertility variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (310 KB)
  • High fertility variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • High fertility variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Low fertility variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (308 KB)
  • Low fertility variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Low fertility variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • High life expectancy variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (309 KB)
  • High life expectancy variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • High life expectancy variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Moderately high life expectancy variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (309 KB)
  • Moderately high life expectancy variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Moderately high life expectancy variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Moderately low life expectancy variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (308 KB)
  • Moderately low life expectancy variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Moderately low life expectancy variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Low life expectancy variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (308 KB)
  • Low life expectancy variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Low life expectancy variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • High migration variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (309 KB)
  • High migration variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • High migration variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Low migration variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (308 KB)
  • Low migration variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Low migration variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Northern Ireland medium high migration - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (309 KB)
  • Northern Ireland medium high migration - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Northern Ireland medium high migration - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Northern ireland medium low migration - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (308 KB)
  • Northern ireland medium low migration - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Northern ireland medium low migration - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • Zero net migration variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (315 KB)
  • Zero net migration variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (312 KB)
  • Zero net migration variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (901 KB)
  • 0% future EU migration variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (201 KB)
  • 0% future EU migration variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (204 KB)
  • 0% future EU migration variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (137 KB)
  • 50% future EU migration variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (201 KB)
  • 50% future EU migration variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (204 KB)
  • 50% future EU migration variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (137 KB)
  • 150% future EU migration variant - projection summary (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (201 KB)
  • 150% future EU migration variant - single year of age and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (204 KB)
  • 150% future EU migration variant - 5 year age bands and sex (2016-2066) Microsoft Excel (137 KB)

Help viewing documents

Last updated: 03 March 2025

Links

  • Official Statistics producer – Upholding Trust, Quality and Value
  • General Register Office - registration and certification of life events relating to births, deaths and marriages
  • nidirect.gov.uk – the official government website for Northern Ireland citizens
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