Sub-NI Projections

The latest sub-NI population projections are based on the 2008 population and are available from 2008-2023, for Health & Social Care Trusts, Education & Library Boards and Local Government Districts.

Recently Published -2012-based Population Projections for Northern Ireland

As of 6th November 2013:
The 2012-based population projections for Northern Ireland has replaced the 2010-based projections. These projections start from the 2012 mid-year population estimates, taking into account the 2011 Census results. As such, the 2008-based projections for areas within Northern Ireland do not add up to the Northern Ireland level mid-year population estimates for 2008-2012, nor to the Northern Ireland level population projections from 2013 onwards.

The 2012-based population projections for areas within Northern Ireland are planned for publication in Spring 2014.

Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections (2008 based)

 

Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections - Statistical Report (PDF)

Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections - Press Release (PDF)

Subnational Population Projections Methodology

 

Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections Methodology

Subnational Population Projections - UK Methodology Paper

Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections (2008 based)

 

Geographical coverage  

Available

Time period

Microsoft Excel (.xls) format

Health and Social Care Trust

Home population by sex & single year of age

2008 to 2023

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Health and Social Care Trust

Home population by sex & five year age bands

2008 to 2023

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Health and Social Services Board

Home population by sex & single year of age

2008 to 2023

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Health and Social Services Board

Home population by sex & five year age bands

2008 to 2023

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Education & Library Board

Home population by sex & five year age bands

2008 to 2023

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Local Government

District Population Totals

2008 to 2023

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Local Government

District Home Population by sex & single year of age

2008 to 2023

Download (zip file)

 

Local Government

District Home Population by sex & five year age bands

2008 to 2023

Download (zip file)

 

Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections (2006 based)

 

Geographical coverage  

Available

Time period

Microsoft Excel (.xls) format

Health and Social Services Board

Home population by sex & single year of age

2006 to 2021

Download

 

Health and Social Services Board

Home population by sex & five year age bands

2006 to 2021

Download

 

Education & Library Board

Home population by sex & five year age bands

2006 to 2021

Download

 

Local Government

District Population Totals

2006 to 2021

Download

 

Local Government

District Home Population by sex & single year of age

2006 to 2021

Download (zip file)

 

Local Government

District Home Population by sex & five year age bands

2006 to 2021

Download (zip file)

 

Historical Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections Data

 

Sub-Northern Ireland Population Projections, 2006

2002 based Sub-Northern Ireland Populaton Projections Data Files (ZIP file - 1.2MB)