Small Area Population Estimates

Update, January 2016

Following a Population Statistics User Engagement Event, population estimates down to SOA will be published in a statistical bulletin in June each year. Population estimates for Small Areas and Neighbourhood Renewal Areas will be published in tabular format by November each year. See the User Engagement Event summary notes for further information.

Further information and data for Small Area Population Estimates are provided below.


Mid-Year Population Estimates (Down to Super Output Areas)

Since the publication of the 2013 population estimates in June 2014, population estimates for areas within Northern Ireland are created using the Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) methodology. Estimates are created for each of the 890 Super Output Areas (SOAs), which are then aggregated to create estimates for larger geographies, such as Local Government Districts and Parliamentary Constituencies. As a result, there is now one single release with a statistical bulletin, which provides analysis and commentary on the population changes for multiple geographies:

SAPE Map Icon

Mid-Year Migration Estimates, Northern Ireland (2014)

Released as part of the Mid-Year Population and Migration Estimates.
Most Recent Release - 4 June 2015
Next Planned Release - June 2016

Publications
Statistical Bulletin PDF Icon
Pre-Release Access List PDF Icon
UK Comparisons Paper (2015) PDF Icon

Detailed Figures
Super Output Areas
Population by sex and broad age bands (2001-2014)
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Electoral Wards
Population by sex and broad age bands (2001-2014)
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Neighbourhood Renewal Areas
Population by sex and broad age bands (2001-2014)
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Population Estimates for Small Areas

In a second step of the methodology, population estimates by SOA were broken down to 2011 Census Small Areas (SA2011). This was based on the rolled-forward 2011 Census and administrative data available at this level. When moving further away from 2011, administrative data sources become more important. There are a number of SAs for which the administrative data sources were distinctly different from the Census counts in 2011, which raises concerns about their future use in disaggregating SOA-level population estimates. In addition, spatial allocation to small geographical areas, particularly when using postcode-based data sources, can lead to inaccuracies. For these reasons, the publication of SA2011 level population estimates was suspended after the release of 2012 estimates.

A review of the methodology and quality of data used to produce SA2011 population estimates took place as part of the 2015/16 Workplan and Population Estimates for Small Areas up to mid-2014 are now available.

SAPE Map Icon

Population Estimates for Small Areas (2013-2014, revised 2012)

Most Recent Release - 25 November 2015
Next Planned Release - November 2016

Publications
Statistical Bulletin (& Quality Information) PDF Icon
Pre-Release Access List PDF Icon
Comparison Across the UK PDF Icon

Detailed Figures
Census Small Areas
Population Totals (2001-2014)
xls Icon



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Further Publications
Statistical Bulletin 2012 PDF Icon
Statistical Bulletin 2008 PDF Icon


Small Area Population Estimates in the rest of the UK
Small Area Population Estimates for England and Wales Web Icon
Small Area Population Estimates for Scotland Web Icon